ln ( marriage rate age , year ) = ? + ? ? ( year ) + ? ? ( year * at least age 60 dummy age , year ) + ? ? ( age ) + ? , where < age>
All of our independent variables include solitary-seasons years dummies, with age fifty omitted; and you can an interaction amongst the ages dummies and you will whether the date months is actually 1979 or after. This allows the brand new models in-marriage cost to vary because widows means many years sixty.
The outcome for the regression can be found in the base committee out-of Shape step three damer i Grekland and you can Appendix Table dos. Regarding pre- and post-1979 laws alter attacks, the fresh new style in marriage costs relative to the baseline period of half a century, was statistically an identical for everybody a long time up to and you can for instance the 58-year-dated widows. not, on the blog post-1979 laws months, 59-year-dated widows are seemingly less inclined to get married (101 percent lower than fifty-year-olds ) compared to the new pre-1979 laws months (86 percent lower than 50-year-olds ). Conditional on enough time pattern, all decades categories at the years sixty decades or elderly be more going to wed regarding the article-1979 legislation several months. Such distinctions try mathematically tall and show that rules decreased the wedding rates off 59-year-olds and enhanced the wedding price of females who have been in the minimum years sixty. The price of remarriage at any ages over 60 decades reduced following the rules change, which means this raise for those who was indeed about decades sixty means women actually stopped relationships up until the laws.
Regarding the article-1979 legislation alter several months, the marriage rates on decades 58 is actually 65 % below the wedding rates at baseline years, because the wedding price is 101 per cent lower than one to at the new standard many years for females during the age 59 and you will returning to 67 per cent below the latest baseline years at age sixty. Every one of these decades effects are mathematically diverse from one another in the one percent peak. This type of overall performance strongly recommend that wedding rates decrease as widows method age 60. This was maybe not obvious in the 1st number of empirical screening since the i classified all the below decades sixty matrimony cost with a beneficial solitary dummy adjustable.
The base committee out-of Profile step 3 reveals an identical however, reduced pronounced trend regarding the many years up until the 1979 rules transform turned energetic. The marriage price on years 59 is 86 per cent below the baseline ages of fifty, since marriage speed on age 58 is 68 percent underneath the baseline decades. That it improvement is statistically extreme on one percent level [F(step 1,520)=nine.32] . Rather than this new blog post-law months, the age-59 impact isn’t statistically diverse from the age-sixty impression (84 per cent beneath the baseline).
Matrimony prices fall off monotonically to many years sixty regarding the blog post-1979 law change several months
Figure cuatro and you can Appendix Dining table dos show that you will find not equivalent patterns to own separated women. Continual the research conducted significantly more than to possess widows, shows zero mathematical otherwise economic differences when considering new pre- and you will article-legislation attacks. Concurrently, there are not any differences between the consequences of your own years 58-, 59-, otherwise sixty-year-old dummies. In reality, wedding pricing fall off monotonically to many years sixty in the article-1979 law transform period.
I include season dummies to account for a good secular big date pattern in marriage pricing, towards the omitted sounding 1968
Panel A great (detailed statistics) implies that there are not any equivalent activities to possess divorced female given that men and women found to have widows (Contour step three). The analysis used in Figure 3 (widows) is actually regular for the Figure 4 (separated female), showing zero mathematical or economic differences between the brand new pre- and you can post-legislation attacks or within effects of the age 58-, 59-, otherwise sixty-year-dated dummies.
